Model monitor
OpenAI GPT-5.6 Luna
openai/gpt-5.6-luna · via openrouter
As of 2026-08-05: probing paused in 5 of 5 task families — the record stands · 0 complete panels behind the record.
Certified claim, per family: H0: E[panel_mean_t | prior completed panels] ≥ frozen_null_floor. Fixed panel composition does not assume or establish temporal independence. Recent panels below link to their hash-committed evidence.
Task family
Structured output
Probing paused: nothing new lands on this family's record; everything already recorded below stands and stays citable.
- Frozen null floor
- 0.700
- Anytime level α
- 0.050
- Completed panels
- 0
This route is watched. Its record begins at the first complete panel — nothing is backfilled, including for us.
Epoch & design record
- Current epoch
d45109a0-43a2-4175-99d3-7dfd4ac8a7b5- Opened
- 2026-08-05 12:27 UTC
- Previous epoch
051ca295-e827-4a99-9af9-6655d49e878b- Transition
- checker_refresh
- Design hash
8a4f5431d708d308ccd859fc31d097a5db0297535ace2795cab39b5f087eb318- Panel hash
a37ad21aa4b8c3e16dbae958c68a70064a9d95487e131d832f2c601f7fdacf14- Pool hash
8e9496011afbb949e38b3facc664e6dd560f1c5d2155fd424fcb720d084c69ee- Panel size
- 5
- Terminal failure
- zero — a failed member scores 0 and stays on the record
- Pool version
structured-output-v3- Checker version
structured_output-v2- Reference mean μ₀
- 0.700
- Minimum effect δ
- 0.000
- Evidence log e
- 0.00 · max 0.00 · alarm at 3.00 (= ln 1/α)
- Raw scores kept
- 0
The persisted monitor state is the authority a certificate replays byte-for-byte; the chart band above is a faithful replay of the same recorded panel means. Spend sums completed probe runs and includes reserved estimates where a run’s true cost was unrecoverable.
Task family
Extraction
Probing paused: nothing new lands on this family's record; everything already recorded below stands and stays citable.
- Frozen null floor
- 0.700
- Anytime level α
- 0.050
- Completed panels
- 0
This route is watched. Its record begins at the first complete panel — nothing is backfilled, including for us.
Epoch & design record
- Current epoch
f066ca90-eb69-4a78-8bfd-c1d95be5b54f- Opened
- 2026-08-05 12:27 UTC
- Previous epoch
895d8922-8512-4d25-99eb-3fd0ab47ddbe- Transition
- checker_refresh
- Design hash
a2749265eac9731c94d1b8cada6fedc0e453bbc919053c455268b3a7eb248a61- Panel hash
1703e9221c9ce6ce1a9f69974cf0fd77056ac1ee4009dec47e3e6f23be2d4351- Pool hash
51802fc8964f7d9927bcabfae23b4bd2f0905e8977c9f8fb4ce50884ab0fbba6- Panel size
- 5
- Terminal failure
- zero — a failed member scores 0 and stays on the record
- Pool version
extraction-v3- Checker version
extraction-v2- Reference mean μ₀
- 0.700
- Minimum effect δ
- 0.000
- Evidence log e
- 0.00 · max 0.00 · alarm at 3.00 (= ln 1/α)
- Raw scores kept
- 0
The persisted monitor state is the authority a certificate replays byte-for-byte; the chart band above is a faithful replay of the same recorded panel means. Spend sums completed probe runs and includes reserved estimates where a run’s true cost was unrecoverable.
Task family
Instruction following
Probing paused: nothing new lands on this family's record; everything already recorded below stands and stays citable.
- Frozen null floor
- 0.700
- Anytime level α
- 0.050
- Completed panels
- 0
This route is watched. Its record begins at the first complete panel — nothing is backfilled, including for us.
Epoch & design record
- Current epoch
6a5f1c49-8f14-45da-926f-7d638445c7bb- Opened
- 2026-08-04 09:39 UTC
- Design hash
4f5cc6b9ff4ce026ccab93f5a3c8241f78eb005bc8b8068e4c701e9236504412- Panel hash
e7dfea1f343f7bf37e066a1117ca21f3438e804ad61437bf72d810640cef7e71- Pool hash
9c5d065322394a6fb18c6d7f90c5bb63f00781f3e4c4aaa663536f76bb8ba7f9- Panel size
- 5
- Terminal failure
- zero — a failed member scores 0 and stays on the record
- Pool version
instruction_following-v3- Checker version
instruction_following-v1- Reference mean μ₀
- 0.700
- Minimum effect δ
- 0.000
- Evidence log e
- 0.00 · max 0.00 · alarm at 3.00 (= ln 1/α)
- Raw scores kept
- 0
The persisted monitor state is the authority a certificate replays byte-for-byte; the chart band above is a faithful replay of the same recorded panel means. Spend sums completed probe runs and includes reserved estimates where a run’s true cost was unrecoverable.
Task family
Code reasoning
Probing paused: nothing new lands on this family's record; everything already recorded below stands and stays citable.
- Frozen null floor
- 0.700
- Anytime level α
- 0.050
- Completed panels
- 0
This route is watched. Its record begins at the first complete panel — nothing is backfilled, including for us.
Epoch & design record
- Current epoch
9b0b3701-122a-40b0-8529-1644b88165fd- Opened
- 2026-08-05 12:27 UTC
- Previous epoch
7fdf750e-1ca6-4bde-8628-f71f882d62f4- Transition
- checker_refresh
- Design hash
bc3668bd52d9d48803b744c2c90f4ed816d7e394525b32b4219f6bab5c9c6df2- Panel hash
827de544c7641d140ac37e321bdb2578a41e291915f519183abbc5bd68153e81- Pool hash
cbfba66601ff51f43c83017d6de9e49988afcee72235f5dca89d705f4f8bb4cc- Panel size
- 5
- Terminal failure
- zero — a failed member scores 0 and stays on the record
- Pool version
code_reasoning-v4- Checker version
code_reasoning-v2- Reference mean μ₀
- 0.700
- Minimum effect δ
- 0.000
- Evidence log e
- 0.00 · max 0.00 · alarm at 3.00 (= ln 1/α)
- Raw scores kept
- 0
The persisted monitor state is the authority a certificate replays byte-for-byte; the chart band above is a faithful replay of the same recorded panel means. Spend sums completed probe runs and includes reserved estimates where a run’s true cost was unrecoverable.
Task family
Math
Probing paused: nothing new lands on this family's record; everything already recorded below stands and stays citable.
- Frozen null floor
- 0.700
- Anytime level α
- 0.050
- Completed panels
- 0
This route is watched. Its record begins at the first complete panel — nothing is backfilled, including for us.
Epoch & design record
- Current epoch
9e6e135d-c054-4cc2-8875-c4766b1a6fa1- Opened
- 2026-08-04 09:39 UTC
- Design hash
fdf94065c55c2ee7d86701efc50be0f5abdc5f02a236f6df52c2ac6f7db801eb- Panel hash
882f3932d07aeb85c4f6406a550d8ad14512e70d3df2432fe7aab03d0508bc75- Pool hash
7ed49fa9a63ba0e0907ff8326de00a843a926618f6d0dec40aa8e491d041e99b- Panel size
- 5
- Terminal failure
- zero — a failed member scores 0 and stays on the record
- Pool version
math-v4- Checker version
math-v1- Reference mean μ₀
- 0.700
- Minimum effect δ
- 0.000
- Evidence log e
- 0.00 · max 0.00 · alarm at 3.00 (= ln 1/α)
- Raw scores kept
- 0
The persisted monitor state is the authority a certificate replays byte-for-byte; the chart band above is a faithful replay of the same recorded panel means. Spend sums completed probe runs and includes reserved estimates where a run’s true cost was unrecoverable.